James O. Berger

James O. Berger

Arts and Sciences Professor of Statistics

External address: 
221 Old Chemistry, Durham, NC 27708
Internal office address: 
Box 90251, Durham, NC 27708-0251
(919) 684-4531

Selected Grants

Collaborative Research: Using Precursor Information to Update Probabilistic Hazard Maps awarded by National Science Foundation (Co Investigator). 2018 to 2020

Hazards SEES: Persistent volcanic crises -- resilience in the face of prolonged and uncertain risk awarded by State University of New York - Buffalo (Co-Principal Investigator). 2015 to 2019

Bayesian Analysis and Interfaces awarded by National Science Foundation (Principal Investigator). 2014 to 2019

Collaborative Research: Statistical And Computational Models and Methods for Extracting Knowledge from Massive Disparate awarded by National Science Foundation (Co-Principal Investigator). 2012 to 2015

Collaborative Research: Bayesian Analysis and Applications awarded by National Science Foundation (Principal Investigator). 2010 to 2015

Hazards SEES Type 1: Persistent volcanic crises in the USA: from precursors to resilience awarded by University of Hawaii System (Co-Principal Investigator). 2013 to 2015

Bayes 250 Conference awarded by National Science Foundation (Principal Investigator). 2013 to 2014

Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute (Supplement) awarded by National Science Foundation (Principal Investigator). 2002 to 2012

FRG: Collaborative Research: Prediction and Risk of Extreme Events Utilizing Mathematical Computer Models of Geophysical awarded by National Science Foundation (Co-Principal Investigator). 2008 to 2012


Bernardo, JM, Bayarri, MJ, Berger, JO, Dawid, AP, Heckerman, D, Smith, AFM, and West, M. "Preface." January 19, 2012. Full Text

Berger, JO. "Bayesian analysis: A look at today and thoughts of tomorrow." Statistics in the 21st Century. January 1, 2001. 275-290.

Benjamin, DJ, Berger, JO, Johannesson, M, Nosek, BA, Wagenmakers, EJ, Berk, R, Bollen, KA, Brembs, B, Brown, L, Camerer, C, Cesarini, D, Chambers, CD, Clyde, M, Cook, TD, De Boeck, P, Dienes, Z, Dreber, A, Easwaran, K, Efferson, C, Fehr, E, Fidler, F, Field, AP, Forster, M, George, EI, Gonzalez, R, Goodman, S, Green, E, Green, DP, Greenwald, AG, Hadfield, JD, Hedges, LV, Held, L, Hua Ho, T, Hoijtink, H, Hruschka, DJ, Imai, K, Imbens, G, Ioannidis, JPA, Jeon, M, Jones, JH, Kirchler, M, Laibson, D, List, J, Little, R, Lupia, A, Machery, E, Maxwell, SE, McCarthy, M, Moore, DA, Morgan, SL, Munafó, M, Nakagawa, S, Nyhan, B, Parker, TH, Pericchi, L, Perugini, M, Rouder, J, Rousseau, J, Savalei, V, Schönbrodt, FD, Sellke, T, Sinclair, B, Tingley, D, Van Zandt, T, Vazire, S, Watts, DJ, Winship, C, Wolpert, RL, Xie, Y, Young, C, Zinman, J, and Johnson, VE. "Redefine statistical significance." Nature Human Behaviour 2.1 (January 1, 2018): 6-10. Full Text Open Access Copy

Gu, M, Wang, X, and Berger, JO. "Robust Gaussian stochastic process emulation." Annals of Statistics 46.6A (January 1, 2018): 3038-3066. Full Text

Kyzyurova, KN, Berger, JO, and Wolpert, RL. "Coupling computer models through linking their statistical emulators." Siam Asa Journal on Uncertainty Quantification 6.3 (January 1, 2018): 1151-1171. Full Text

Gu, M, and Berger, JO. "Parallel partial Gaussian process emulation for computer models with massive output." Annals of Applied Statistics 10.3 (September 1, 2016): 1317-1347. Full Text

Bayarri, MJ, Benjamin, DJ, Berger, JO, and Sellke, TM. "Rejection odds and rejection ratios: A proposal for statistical practice in testing hypotheses." Journal of Mathematical Psychology 72 (June 2016): 90-103. Full Text

Wang, X, and Berger, JO. "Estimating shape constrained functions using Gaussian processes." Siam Asa Journal on Uncertainty Quantification 4.1 (January 1, 2016): 1-25. Full Text

Berger, JO, Bernardo, JM, and Sun, D. "Overall objective priors." Bayesian Analysis 10.1 (March 1, 2015): 189-221. Full Text

Bayarri, MJ, Berger, JO, Calder, ES, Patra, AK, Pitman, EB, Spiller, ET, and Wolpert, RL. "PROBABILISTIC QUANTIFICATION OF HAZARDS: A METHODOLOGY USING SMALL ENSEMBLES OF PHYSICS-BASED SIMULATIONS AND STATISTICAL SURROGATES." International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification 5.4 (2015): 297-325. Full Text

Berger, J, Bayarri, MJ, and Pericchi, LR. "The Effective Sample Size." Econometric Reviews 33.1-4 (February 10, 2014): 197-217. Full Text

Berger, JO, Wang, X, and Shen, L. "A Bayesian approach to subgroup identification." J Biopharm Stat 24.1 (2014): 110-129. (Review) Full Text


"Bayesian Statistics 9.": Oxford University Press, October 6, 2011. Full Text

Bayarri, MJ, Berger, JO, and Molina, G. "Incorporating uncertainties into traffic simulators." January 1, 2007.

Berger, J. "A statistician's perspective on Astrostatistics." 4th Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy Conference. June 12, 2006 - June 15, 2006. Penn State Univ, University Pk, PA.: ASTRONOMICAL SOC PACIFIC, January 1, 2007.

Berger, JO, and Molina, G. "Some recent developments in Bayesian variable selection." 24th International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering. July 25, 2004 - July 30, 2004. Max Planck Inst Plasmaphys, Garching, GERMANY.: AMER INST PHYSICS, January 1, 2004.

Berger, JO, Jefferys, WH, Muller, P, and Barnes, TG. "Bayesian model selection and analysis for Cepheid star oscillations." 3rd Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy Conference (SCMA III). July 18, 2001 - July 21, 2001. PENN STATE UNIV, UNIVERSITY PK, PA.: SPRINGER, January 1, 2003. Full Text

Berger, JO, and Connors, A. "Some recent developments in Bayesian analysis, with astronomical illustrations." Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy II Conference (SCMA II). June 1996. PENN STATE UNIV, UNIVERSITY PK, PA.: SPRINGER-VERLAG, January 1, 1997.

WANG, Y, BERGER, JO, and BOUKAI, B. "A Bayesian testing procedure with valid conditional frequentist interpretation." ASA 1994 Winter Conference. January 6, 1994 - January 9, 1994. ATLANTA, GA.: AMER STATISTICAL ASSOC, January 1, 1994.